Project Delivery System Selection under Uncertainty: Multicriteria Multilevel Decision Aid Model
Publication: Journal of Management in Engineering
Volume 23, Issue 4
Abstract
Selecting an optimal project delivery system is a critical task that owners should do to ensure project success. This selection is a complex decision-making process. The complexity arises from the uncertain or not well-defined parameters and/or the multiple criteria structure of such decisions. In this study, a decision aid model using the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) coupled with rough approximation concepts is developed to assist the owners. The selection criteria are determined by studying a number of benchmarks. The model ranks the alternative delivery systems by considering both benchmark results and owner’s opinion. In interval AHP, an optimization procedure is performed via obtaining the upper and the lower linear programming models to determine the interval priorities for alternative project delivery systems. In cases having incomparable alternatives, which is the most likely case in uncertain decision making, the model uses rough set-based measures to reduce the number of decision criteria to a subset, which is able to fully rank the alternatives. To illustrate the applicability and usefulness of this methodology, a real world case study will be demonstrated.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Acknowledgments
The writers are very thankful to Mr. Dave Button, director of the physical plant at the University of Regina, for his collaborations and helpful suggestions. We are also very thankful to anonymous reviewers for their very insightful comments and suggestions, which were very helpful in improving the manuscript.
References
Alam, S. S., and Shrabonti, G. (2002). “Ranking by AHP: A rough approach.” Proc., 5th Int. Conf. on Information Fusion, International Society of Information Fusion, Annapolis, Md., 185–191.
Al Khalil, M. I. (2002). “Selecting the appropriate project delivery method using AHP.” Int. J. Proj. Manage., 20(6), 469–474.
Beard, J. L., Wundram, E. C., and Loulakis, M. C. (2001). Design-build: Planning through development, 1st Ed., McGraw-Hill Professional, Hightstown, N.J.
Brunso, T. P., and Siddiqi, K. M. (2003). “Using benchmarks and metrics to evaluate project delivery of environmental restoration programs.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 129(2), 119–130.
Dorsey, R. W. (1997). Project delivery systems for building construction, Associated General Contractors of America, Washington, D.C.
Ferguson, H., and Keing, M. (2003). “The road to alternative project delivery.” Proc., The SCUP-38th Annual Int. Conf., The Society for College and University Planning, Miami Beach, Fla.
Fong, P. S., and Choi, S. K. (2000). “Final contractor selection using the analytic hierarchy process.” Constr. Manage. Econom., 18(5), 547–557.
Georgia State Financing and Investment Commission (GSFIC). (2003a). Project delivery options: Selecting the appropriate project delivery option, Vol. 2, Version 2, Atlanta.
Georgia State Financing and Investment Commission (GSFIC). (2003b). Project delivery options: Understanding your options, Vol. 1, Version 2, Atlanta.
Ling, F. Y., Chan, S. L., Chong, E., and Ee, L. P. (2004). “Predicting performance of design-build and design-bid-build projects.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 130(1), 75–83.
Mahdi, I. M., and Alreshaid, K. (2005). “Decision support system for selecting the proper project delivery method using analytical hierarchy process (AHP).” Int. J. Proj. Manage., 23(7), 564–572.
Mulvey, D. L. (1998). “Project delivery trends: A contractor’s assessment.” J. Manage. Eng., 14(6), 51–54.
Osgood, B. (2000). “Excerpts from a quarterly survey of fortune 1000: Ranking project delivery methods.” Strategy and Planning Division, VOA Associates Incorporated, Columbus, Ohio.
Oyetunji, A. A., and Anderson, S. D. (2006). “Relative effectiveness of project delivery and contract strategies.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 132(1), 3–13.
Pawlak, Z. (1982). “Rough sets.” Int. J. Comput. Inf. Sci., 11(5), 341–356.
Pawlak, Z. (1991). Rough sets: Theoretical aspects of reasoning about data, Kluwer Academic, Dordrecht, Boston.
Saaty, T. L. (1977). “A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures.” J. Math. Psychol., 15(3), 234–281.
Saaty, T. L. (1995). Decision making for leaders, RWS, Pittsburgh.
Saaty, T. L. (2000). Fundamentals of decision making and priority theory with the analytic hierarchy process, RWS, Pittsburgh.
Sanvido, V. E., and Konchar, M. (1999). “Selecting project delivery systems: Comparing design-build, design-bid-build and construction management at risk.” The Project Delivery Institute, State College, Pa.
Silva, A. D. (2002). “A model for optimizing the selection of project delivery systems using analytic hierarchy process (AHP).” MASc thesis, Western Michigan Univ., Kalamazoo, Mich.
Songer, A. D., and Molenaar, K. R. (1996). “Selecting design-build: Public and private sector owner attitudes.” J. Manage. Eng., 12(6), 47–53.
Stillman, L. J., and Tomlinson, K. (1998). “A matrix for project delivery.” Constr. Specifier, 3(1), 50–55.
Sugihara, K., Maeda, Y., and Tanaka, H. (1999). “Interval evaluation by AHP with rough set concept.” Lect. Notes Comput. Sci., 1711(1), 375–381.
Sugihara, K., Hiroaki, I., and Tanaka, H. (2004). “Interval priorities in AHP by interval regression analysis.” Eur. J. Oper. Res., 158(3), 745–754.
Tanaka, H. (2003). “Dual interval models and its application to decision making.” Lect. Notes Comput. Sci., 2715(1), 39–51.
Vargas, L. G. (1990). “An overview of the analytic hierarchy process and its application.” Eur. J. Oper. Res., 48(1), 2–8.
Warne, T., and Beard, J. (2005). Project delivery systems owner’s manual, American Council of Engineering Companies, Washington, D.C.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
© 2007 ASCE.
History
Received: Dec 21, 2005
Accepted: Dec 28, 2006
Published online: Oct 1, 2007
Published in print: Oct 2007
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.