Technical Papers
May 11, 2017

IRI Prediction Model for Use in Network-Level Pavement Management Systems

Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part B: Pavements
Volume 143, Issue 1

Abstract

This paper describes the development and validation of an empirical model for predicting the International Roughness Index (IRI) over time. The model is designed to balance mathematical complexity and ease of implementation in network-level pavement management systems. The predicted pavement roughness is modeled as a function of the initial IRI (post construction or treatment) and pavement age. The model accounts for the effects of climate, subgrade, treatment type, pavement type, traffic loading, and functional system (urban or rural) through the use of calibration coefficients. Representative roadway sections are selected from a 10-year (2005 to 2014) pavement management database provided by the Texas Department of Transportation (TxDOT). To validate the model, the IRI data observed in 2015 is compared with the 2015 predicted IRI. The reasonableness and sensitivity of the model are also evaluated. The results show that the proposed model can be a useful tool for predicting IRI in network-level pavement management systems.

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Acknowledgments

The authors wish to express their gratitude to CAPES/Brazil for support through postdoctoral scholarship process number 99999.006732/2014-03.

References

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Published In

Go to Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part B: Pavements
Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part B: Pavements
Volume 143Issue 1March 2017

History

Received: Aug 22, 2016
Published in print: Mar 1, 2017
Accepted: Apr 24, 2017
Published online: May 11, 2017
Discussion open until: Oct 11, 2017

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Authors

Affiliations

Francisco Dalla Rosa [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Universidade de Passo Fundo—RS, Brazil; Visiting Scholar at Texas A&M Univ., Zachry Dept. of Civil Engineering, 3136 TAMU, College Station, TX 77843. E-mail: [email protected]
Litao Liu, M.ASCE [email protected]
Project Manager, Entech Civil Engineers, Inc., Houston, TX 77084 (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Nasir G. Gharaibeh, M.ASCE [email protected]
Associate Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX 77843-3136. E-mail: [email protected]

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